Saul Alvarez faces Floyd Mayweather Jr. tomorrow night at what is looking likely to give the record-setting pay per view numbers from the Mayweather vs De La Hoya fight in 2007 a run for it’s ppv numbers mark. Now many causal fans of boxing are already giving Floyd the victory, which to be honest ever since the Oscar De La Hoya fight, makes it logical because Floyd has never TRULY put himself up against a fighter who had more than a miraculous chance of winning. Since the De LA Hoya fight Mayweather has fought; Ricky Hatton, Juan Manuel Marquez, Shane Mosley, Victor Ortiz, Miguel Cotto, and Robert Guerrero.
You say well he fought 2 potentially 3 Hall of Famer’s in Marquez, Mosley, and Cotto. Well in the Marquez fight Floyd essentially bought that victory by coming in over the weight limit and have zero intentions of making weight he paid Marquez $600,000 for being over the agreed upon catch weight of 144 lbs. Versus Mosley he fought a fighter well past his prime and still Mosley was able to land a right hand that buckled Floyd’s knees and had Mosley been 3-4 years younger he probably would have been able to capitalize on that but Mayweather weathered that and went on to easily out box Mosley the rest of the fight. Cotto showed the best of all these fighters versus Mayweather. He was able to land body shots and jabs in the middle of the fight, even bloodying Mayweather’s nose at one point. Cotto ended up winning 2 rounds on 1 judges card and 3 on the other 2 judges. Cotto though was ultimately not the one to get the job done.
So what can ‘Canelo’ Alvarez take from all of this? A lot actually.
1-Stay dedicated to the body of Mayweather.
2- You’re going to miss him, don’t get frustrated by it.
3-Switch it up instead of leading with a jab come with a hook.
4- Use the uppercut.
5- Cut off the ring.
6- Anticipate the shoulder roll, when he rolls a shoulder make sure you come with a body shot right behind it.
7- Keep the pressure on. Canelo will not win fighting only in spurts like he did in his last fight with Austin Trout.
I believe this fight is finally a fight….. A) People want to see and B) A fight that actually involves a live opponent.
Floyd has many of the advantages going into this fight. Canelo has a few too. Canelo obviously has the power advantage. This is the first time since 2007, six years ago, that Mayweather is fighting twice in one year. So we will see how that comes into play. Will Floyd not be as sharp in the latter rounds?
I really like Canelo to pull the upset and I believe he will. My prediction is Alvarez wins by TKO in the 7th round. Yep I’m picking Alvarez to win this thing. I don’t think this moment or stage is too big for him and I don’t believe Mayweather intimidates him at all.